Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000159 0.000175 0.000193 0.000214 0.000238 0.000263 0.000293
2025-06-08 0.000123 0.000146 0.000173 0.000207 0.000249 0.000299 0.000363
2025-06-15 0.000106 0.000132 0.000166 0.000210 0.000268 0.000342 0.000445
2025-06-22 0.000095 0.000124 0.000161 0.000214 0.000288 0.000387 0.000535
2025-06-29 0.000083 0.000112 0.000152 0.000210 0.000294 0.000414 0.000601
2025-07-06 0.000073 0.000101 0.000141 0.000201 0.000292 0.000426 0.000647
2025-07-13 0.000067 0.000096 0.000137 0.000202 0.000303 0.000461 0.000730
2025-07-20 0.000063 0.000092 0.000135 0.000205 0.000318 0.000501 0.000829
2025-07-27 0.000058 0.000087 0.000130 0.000203 0.000325 0.000529 0.000909
2025-08-03 0.000055 0.000084 0.000129 0.000206 0.000340 0.000571 0.001020
2025-08-10 0.000051 0.000079 0.000124 0.000203 0.000344 0.000595 0.001102
2025-08-17 0.000047 0.000075 0.000121 0.000202 0.000351 0.000625 0.001198
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000071 0.000116 0.000200 0.000356 0.000654 0.001301
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000066 0.000110 0.000193 0.000353 0.000666 0.001371
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000064 0.000109 0.000195 0.000367 0.000715 0.001531
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000063 0.000108 0.000199 0.000385 0.000775 0.001728
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000059 0.000104 0.000195 0.000386 0.000798 0.001840
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000055 0.000098 0.000187 0.000377 0.000797 0.001895
2025-10-05 0.000030 0.000053 0.000096 0.000188 0.000388 0.000843 0.002077
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000052 0.000096 0.000190 0.000403 0.000902 0.002307
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000050 0.000093 0.000189 0.000409 0.000938 0.002478
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000049 0.000093 0.000191 0.000424 0.001000 0.002742
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000047 0.000090 0.000189 0.000427 0.001031 0.002916